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Weekly NOTES
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Weekly notes
The US Economy Between 1979-1983 and now: Inflation, Stock Market Volatility, and Rising Interest Rates
The period between 1979 and 1983 was marked by significant economic turbulence in the United States. Inflation rates were high, the stock market experienced volatility, and interest rates were on the rise. Here are some key facts and figures from that era: Inflation: In 1979, the US inflation rate peaked at around 13.3%, the highest level…
Central banks rate hikes cycle, turning into currencies war
Last week three central banks raised their interest rates, two of which surprised the markets. The Federal Reserve of the United States increased its interest rate by 0.75%, vs. an expectation of a 0.50% hike. The Switzerland National Bank (SNB) raised its rate by 0.50%, from the previous -0.75% to -0.25%, which was a total…
Continue Reading Central banks rate hikes cycle, turning into currencies war
Is it 2018 again, or are we heading toward recession, maybe even worse, a stagnation
For the past month, we are witnessing many discussions, analyses, and opinions about the state of the economy in the US and the world. Many market and economic analyzers are comparing the current correction in the US stock market with the correction in 2018. In 2018 the FED chairman Powell started a series of interest…
The FED hiked the interest rates, and chairman Powell signaled another 0.50% rise in June
The Federal Reserve of the United States raised the interest rates in their meeting on the fourth of May 2022. During the Central Bank press conference, while answering questions, FED Chairman Powell implied, that another 0.50% hike is coming in June and perhaps in July, but ruled out a more aggressive hike of 0.75%. Many…
Currencies
EUR/USD Technical Analysis, the pair is facing descending trend line and resistance
Technical analysis for the EUR/USD, the pair is facing a descending trend line, resistance zone, and the50 EMA on the weekly chart. A break above this resistance zone between 1.0550-1.0625, where we have the 0.382 FIB retracement on the monthly chart, will send the EUR/USD higher. The first target for this potential bullish development is…
Continue Reading EUR/USD Technical Analysis, the pair is facing descending trend line and resistance
FXCM Dollar Index Technical Analysis, the index formed a double-top
Technical analysis for the FXCM dollar index, the price formed a double-top pattern on the daily chart rejecting the top of ascending price channel on both the daily and the weekly charts, signaling a pullback. The first target for this potential pullback is the previous low on the daily chart at 13 284, which is…
Continue Reading FXCM Dollar Index Technical Analysis, the index formed a double-top
CHF/JPY Technical analysis, the pair formed a high-test pattern on the weekly chart
Technical analysis for the CHF/JPY, the pair formed a high-test pattern on the weekly chart, signaling a potential pullback. The first target for this pullback is the 0.382 FIB retracement at 147.15. The second target is the 1.618 FIB extension on the four-hour chart at 146.30. The third target is between the 0.382 FIB retracement…
Continue Reading CHF/JPY Technical analysis, the pair formed a high-test pattern on the weekly chart
GBP/USD Technical Analysis, the pair formed a low-test rejecting resistance
Technical analysis for GBP/USD, the pair formed a low-test pattern on the weekly and the daily charts, rejecting the 2020 low, signaling the begging of a bounce. The first target for this pullback is the 0.382 FIB retracement on the daily chart at 1.1735. The second target is 0.500 FIB retracement on the daily chart…
Continue Reading GBP/USD Technical Analysis, the pair formed a low-test rejecting resistance
Equities and Indexes
Alphabet Inc (Google) Technical Analysis, the shares reached the third target of the bearish wave
Alphabet Inc (Google) technical analysis, as we pointed out in our previous analysis, the shares of Alphabet reached the third target of the bearish wave on the weekly chart, the 2.272 FIB extension at 84.30$, which was also a support zone and 0.618 FIB retracement on the monthly chart. The price bounced off that support…
NASDAQ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, THE INDEX STARTED A PULLBACK ON THE WEEKLY CHART
Technical analysis for NASDAQ 100, the index reached the first target of the bearish wave on the weekly chart, the 1.272 FIB extension at 10 500, which is also a 0.618 FIB retracement on the weekly and monthly charts. The index bounced off that key level and broke above a descending trendline, starting a pullback on…
Continue Reading NASDAQ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, THE INDEX STARTED A PULLBACK ON THE WEEKLY CHART
NVIDIA Technical analysis, the shares formed Head & Shoulders pattern
Technical analysis for Nvidia, the price of the shares reached the first target of the bearish wave on the weekly chart, the 1.272 FIB extension at 110.00$. Around that level, we had both horizontal and dynamic support on the weekly and daily charts. The bounce turned into a full breakout with a reversal Head &…
Continue Reading NVIDIA Technical analysis, the shares formed Head & Shoulders pattern
S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, the index reached a resistance zone and descending trend line
Technical analysis for S&P 500, the index reached a resistance zone a descending trend line on the weekly and the daily charts, and the weekly 50 EMA. A break above the descending trend and above 4100, will be a bullish signal and open the door for a bullish run toward the 0.618 FIB retracement on…
commodities
Gold Technical Analysis, the price rejected a resistance and started a pullback.
Gold Technical Analysis, the price formed a double bottom on the weekly chart, bounced from the 0.500 FIB retracement on the monthly chart at 1615$, and started a pullback. This pullback turned to a full breakout on the weekly and the daily chart, which sent the price of Gold soaring more than 20% higher. The…
Continue Reading Gold Technical Analysis, the price rejected a resistance and started a pullback.
Brent Oil Technical Analysis, the price is approaching 0.618 FIB retracement
Technical analysis for Brent Crude oil, the price is approaching the 0.618 FIB retracement on the weekly chart at 91.50$, which is the first target for the pullback. The second target for the pullback is the 0.382 FIB retracement on the monthly chart at 88.40$, which is within both dynamic and horizontal support. If the…
Continue Reading Brent Oil Technical Analysis, the price is approaching 0.618 FIB retracement
US Crude Oil Technical Analysis, the price reached the first target of the pullback
Technical analysis for Crude oil, the price reached the first target of the pullback on the monthly chart, the 0.618 FIB retracement at 88.00$. If the price of US oil breaks below the ascending trend line and below 88.00$, that will open the door for further declines toward the 1.272 FIB extension on the daily…
Continue Reading US Crude Oil Technical Analysis, the price reached the first target of the pullback
Silver Technical analysis, the price bounced from 0.618 FIB retracement
Technical analysis for Silver(XAG/USD), the price bounced from 0.618 FIB retracement on the monthly chart, and closed the month with a low-test candle pattern, starting a pullback. The first target for this pullback, the 0.382 FIB retracement on the daily chart at 19.82, was reached. The second target is the 0.618 FIB retracement on the…
Continue Reading Silver Technical analysis, the price bounced from 0.618 FIB retracement
Government Bond yields
10 Year Yield France Government Bond Technical Analysis for 2022
Technical analysis for the 10 Year Yield France Government Bond, the yield broke above the 2020 and 2021 high, accelerating the bullish movement of the weekly bullish wave. The first target for this bullish wave is the 1.272 FIB extension on the weekly chart at 0.735%. The second target is the 1.618 FIB extension at…
Continue Reading 10 Year Yield France Government Bond Technical Analysis for 2022
10-Year Yield UK Government Bond Technical Analysis for 2022
Technical analysis for the 10-year UK bond yield, the yield broke above the highs from 2020 and May 2021 and started a bullish wave on the weekly chart. The first target for this bullish wave is the 100% FIB extension at 1.340%. The second target for the bulls of 10-year UK bond yield is the…
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10-Year Yield German Government Bond Technical Analysis for 2022
Technical analysis for the German Government bond 10-year yield, on the weekly and the monthly chart, the 10-year German bond yield broke above the 2020 and May 2021 highs, starting a bullish wave. The first target of this bullish wave is the 0.618 FIB retracement on the monthly chart at 0.160%. The second target is…
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10-Year Yield US Government Bond Technical Analysis for 2022
Technical analysis for the US Government bond 10-year yield, on the weekly chart, the price broke out above the double top, which was formed in October and November of 2021. The bullish breakout is a signal for the resumption of the third bullish wave on the weekly chart. The first target of this bullish wave…
Continue Reading 10-Year Yield US Government Bond Technical Analysis for 2022
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