WEEKLY NOTES FOR 14-20 FEBRUARY 2021.
Both the DXY and the FXCM dollar indexes broke below the bearish flag on the 4H chart and below the daily phase line, signaling the resumption of the bearish trend for the USD. This technical development appears ahead of the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, February 17th, and after a comment from House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made on Thursday. Pelosi told reporters that she thinks the House will approve the rescue proposal (1.9T stimulus package) before the end of the month. The Democrats are pushing to get the bill through the Senate before the expiration of jobless benefits on March 14, 2021.
Therefore, next week the focus will be on the FOMC minutes release and any comments from the Biden administration and the Democrats about the stimulus package.
Review previous week’s technical analysis for FXCM DOLLAR INDEX and for the DXY DOLLAR INDEX, to find the details and target for the break below the 4H bearish flag.
Here is the list of economic data release, will be watched this coming week:
- Japan GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q4 – Monday February 15 2021
- Japan GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ Prel Q4 – Monday February 15 2021
- Japan GDP Private Consumption QoQ Prel Q4 – Monday February 15 2021
- Singapore GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q4 – Monday February 15 2021
- Canada Housing Starts JAN – Monday February 15 2021
- Canada New Motor Vehicle Sales DEC – Monday February 15 2021
- Canada Manufacturing Sales MoM DEC – Monday February 15 2021
- Australia RBA Meeting Minutes – Tuesday February 16 2021
- France Unemployment Rate Q4 – Tuesday February 16 2021
- Euro area Employment Change YoY Prel Q4 – Tuesday February 16 2021
- Euro area Employment Change YoY Prel Q4 – Tuesday February 16 2021
- Europe area GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est Q4 – Tuesday February 16 2021
- Europe area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index FEB – Tuesday February 16 2021
- Germany area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index FEB – Tuesday February 16 2021
- Germany area ZEW Current Conditions FEB – Tuesday February 16 2021
- US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index FEB – Tuesday February 16 2021
- US Overall Net Capital Flows DEC – Tuesday February 16 2021
- US Foreign Bond Investment DEC – Tuesday February 16 2021
- UK Inflation Rate YoY JAN – Wednesday February 17 2021
- UK Core Inflation Rate YoY JAN – Wednesday February 17 2021
- Canada Inflation Rate YoY JAN – Wednesday February 17 2021
- Canada Core Inflation Rate YoY JAN – Wednesday February 17 2021
- US Retail Sales MoM JAN – Wednesday February 17 2021
- US Manufacturing Production YoY JAN – Wednesday February 17 2021
- US Capacity Utilization JAN – Wednesday February 17 2021
- US Business Inventories MoM DEC – Wednesday February 17 2021
- US FOMC Minutes – Wednesday February 17 2021
- Australia Employment Change JAN – Thursday February 18 2021
- Australia Unemployment Rate JAN – Thursday February 18 2021
- Canada ADP Employment Change JAN – Thursday February 18 2021
- US Housing Starts MoM JAN – Thursday February 18 2021
- US Initial Jobless Claims 13/FEB – Thursday February 18 2021
- US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index FEB – Thursday February 18 2021
- US Import Prices YoY JAN – Thursday February 18 2021
- US Export Prices YoY JAN – Thursday February 18 2021
- Australia Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- Australia Markit Services PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- Australia Markit Composite PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- Australia Retail Sales MoM Prel JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- Germany PPI MoM JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- Germany PPI YoY JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- UK Retail Sales YoY JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- UK Public Sector Net Borrowing JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- Swiss Industrial Production YoY Q4 – Friday February 19 2021
- FR Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- FR Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- FR Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- FR Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- FR Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- FR Markit Services PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- FR Markit Composite PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- DE Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- DE Markit Services PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- DE Markit Composite PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- EA Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- EA Markit Services PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- EA Markit Composite PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- EA Current Account DEC – Friday February 19 2021
- IT Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- IT Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- IT Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- IT Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- ES Balance of Trade DEC €-1.073B – Friday February 19 2021
- UK Gfk Consumer Confidence FEB – Friday February 19 2021 – Friday February 19 2021
- GB Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- GB Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- GB Markit/CIPS Composite PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- IT Construction Output YoY DEC – Friday February 19 2021
- IT Current Account DE – Friday February 19 2021
- GB CBI Industrial Trends Orders FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- US Fed Barkin Speech – Friday February 19 2021
- CA Retail Sales MoM DEC – Friday February 19 2021
- CA Retail Sales YoY DEC – Friday February 19 2021
- CA Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM DEC – Friday February 19 2021
- US Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- US Markit Composite PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- US Markit Services PMI Flash FEB – Friday February 19 2021
- US Existing Home Sales MoM JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- US Existing Home Sales JAN – Friday February 19 2021
- US Fed Rosengren Speech – Friday February 19 2021
Have a happy, positive, and profitable week ahead!