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Last week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand(RBN) raised its interest rates from 0.75% to 1.00%. In the official bank statement, the RBN stressed the need for further interest rate increases and declared that by the end of 2022, the interest rates would reach 2.20%. That means that on pretty much every meeting by the end of 2022, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will be raising its official cash rate.
The Reserve Bank of Australia monetary statement is due on the first of March 2022. Although no interest rate hike is expected, the market participants will watch for any change in the bank monetary statement. The past three inflation reports came out hot and above the Reserve Bank of Australia inflation target range. Will that be enough for the policymakers to start preparing the markets for changes in the bank monetary policy?
Next week, on the second of March 2022, the Bank of Canada is expected to raise its interest rates from 0.25% to 0.50%. The markets are waiting for more details on the Bank’s plans for the number of interest rate increases by the end of 2022.
The most important event for the week ahead is the Fed chairman Powell’s testimony in front of congress. Is the chairman going to provide any details that may hint at the size of the interest rate hike on March 17, 2022?
In the past week, life in Europe changed for one night after Russia entered Ukraine, starting a war. The decision of the dictator Putin to attack a peaceful country is a crime. The event cost significant volatility in the financial markets. The volatility in the financial markets will continue in the weeks ahead, and eventually, if not already it will affect the day to day life around the world.
Focus for the week ahead is on the following economic data releases:
Monday, 28, February 2022
- Japan Industrial Production MoM Prel JAN
- Japan Retail Sales YoY JAN
- Japan Industrial Production YoY Prel JAN
- Japan Retail Sales MoM JAN
- Japan Housing Starts YoY JAN
- Japan Construction Orders YoY JAN
- Australia TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM FEB
- Australia ANZ Business Confidence Final FEB
- Australia Retail Sales MoM Prel JAN
- Australia Company Gross Profits QoQ Q4
- Australia Private Sector Credit MoM JAN
- Australia Private Sector Credit YoY JAN
- Australia Business Inventories QoQ Q4
- Spain Inflation Rate MoM Prel FEB
- Spain Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel FEB
- Spain Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel FEB
- Spain Inflation Rate YoY Prel FEB
- Spain Current Account DEC
- Switzerland Retail Sales YoY JAN
- Switzerland Retail Sales MoM JAN
- Switzerland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q4
- Switzerland GDP Growth Rate YoY Q4
- Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators FEB
- EU Bond Auction
- Canada Current Account Q4
- Canada PPI MoM JAN
- Canada PPI YoY JAN
- Canada Raw Materials Prices MoM JAN
- Canada Raw Materials Prices YoY JAN
- Canada 10-Year Bond Auction
- US Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv JAN
- US Goods Trade Balance Adv JAN
- US Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv JAN
- US Chicago PMI FEB
- US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index FEB
- US 3-Month Bill Auction
- US 6-Month Bill Auction
Tuesday, 01, March 2022
- Australia Ai Group Manufacturing Index FEB
- Australia Markit Manufacturing PMI Final FEB
- Australia Home Loans MoM JAN
- Australia Investment Lending for Homes JAN
- Australia Commodity Prices YoY FEB
- Australia Current Account Q4
- Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision
- South Korea Exports YoY FEB
- South Korea Balance of Trade FEB
- South Korea Imports YoY FEB
- China NBS Manufacturing PMI FEB
- China NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI FEB
- China NBS General PMI FEB
- China Caixin Manufacturing PMI FEB
- Japan Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Final FEB
- Japan Jibun Bank Services PMI Final FEB
- Japan 10-Year JGB Auction
- Germany Retail Sales MoM JAN
- Germany Retail Sales YoY JAN
- Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Final FEB
- Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel FEB
- Germany Inflation Rate MoM Prel FEB
- Germany Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel FEB
- Germany Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel FEB
- UK Nationwide Housing Prices YoY FEB
- UK Nationwide Housing Prices MoM FEB
- UK Mortgage Lending JAN
- UK BoE Consumer Credit JAN
- UK Mortgage Approvals JAN
- UK Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final FEB
- UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM JAN
- Spain Markit Manufacturing PMI FEB
- Spain 6-Month Letras Auction
- Spain 12-Month Letras Auction
- Spain New Car Sales YoY FEB
- Switzerland procure.ch Manufacturing PMI FEB
- France Markit Manufacturing PMI Final FEB
- France New Car Registrations YoY FEB
- EA Markit Manufacturing PMI Final FEB
- Italy IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI FEB
- Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel FEB
- Italy Inflation Rate MoM Prel FEB
- Italy New Car Registrations YoY FEB
- Italy Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel FEB
- Italy Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel FEB
- Italy Full Year GDP Growth 2021
- Italy Government Budget 2021
- Canada GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q4
- Canada GDP Growth Rate Annualized Q4
- Canada GDP MoM DEC
- Canada GDP Implicit Price QoQ Q4
- Canada Markit Manufacturing PMI FEB
- US Redbook YoY 26/FEB
- US Markit Manufacturing PMI Final FEB
- US ISM Manufacturing PMI FEB
- US Construction Spending MoM JAN
- US ISM Manufacturing New Orders FEB
- US ISM Manufacturing Prices FEB
- US ISM Manufacturing Employment FEB
- US Dallas Fed Services Index FEB
- US Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index FEB
- US NY Fed Treasury Purchases TIPS 7.5 to 30 yrs
- US API Crude Oil Stock Change 25/FEB
- US President Biden State of the Union Speech
- US LMI Logistics Managers Index Current FEB
- New Zealand Global Dairy Trade Price Index
- New Zealand Export Prices QoQ Q4
- New Zealand Terms of Trade QoQ Q4
- New Zealand Import Prices QoQ Q4
- New Zealand Building Permits MoM JAN
- China Standing Committee of the CPPCC National Committee
Wednesday, 02, March 2022
- South Korea Industrial Production MoM JAN
- South Korea Retail Sales YoY JAN
- South Korea Retail Sales MoM JAN
- South Korea Manufacturing Production YoY JAN
- South Korea Industrial Production YoY JAN
- South Korea Construction Output YoY JAN
- South Korea Markit Manufacturing PMI FEB
- Australia RBA Chart Pack
- Australia GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q4
- Australia GDP Growth Rate YoY Q4
- Australia GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ Q4
- Australia GDP Final Consumption QoQ Q4
- Australia GDP Deflator QoQ Q4
- Germany Unemployment Rate Harmonised JAN
- Germany Unemployed Persons FEB
- Germany Unemployment Change FEB
- Germany Unemployment Rate FEB
- France Budget Balance JAN
- EA CPI Flash FEB
- EA Inflation Rate YoY Flash FEB
- EA Inflation Rate MoM Flash FEB
- EA Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash FEB
- EA 3-Month Bill Auction
- EA 6-Month Bill Auction
- Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision
- US Fed Chair Powell Testifies
- US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate 25/FEB
- US MBA Mortgage Applications 25/FEB
- US MBA Mortgage Market Index 25/FEB
- US MBA Mortgage Refinance Index 25/FEB
- US MBA Purchase Index 25/FEB
- US ADP Employment Change FEB
- US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Gasoline Production Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Distillate Stocks Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change 25/FEB
- US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change 25/FEB
- US Fed Beige Book
Thursday, 03, March 2022
- China Standing Committee of the CPPCC National Committee
- China Caixin Services PMI FEB
- China Caixin Composite PMI FEB
- Australia Ai Group Construction Index FEB
- Australia Markit Services PMI Final FEB
- Australia Markit Composite PMI Final FEB
- Australia Balance of Trade JAN
- Australia Building Permits MoM Prel JAN
- Australia Exports MoM JAN
- Australia Imports MoM JAN
- Australia Private House Approvals MoM Prel JAN
- South Korea GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4
- South Korea GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q4
- Japan Foreign Bond Investment 26/FEB
- Japan Stock Investment by Foreigners 26/FEB
- Japan Jibun Bank Composite PMI Final FEB
- Japan 30-Year JGB Auction
- Japan Consumer Confidence FEB
- Switzerland Inflation Rate YoY FEB
- Switzerland Inflation Rate MoM FEB
- Spain Tourist Arrivals YoY JAN
- Spain Markit Services PMI FEB
- Spain Markit Composite PMI FEB
- Italy IHS Markit Services PMI FEB
- Italy IHS Markit Composite PMI FEB
- Italy Unemployment Rate FEB
- France Markit Services PMI Final FEB
- France Markit Composite PMI Final FEB
- France 10-Year OAT Auction
- Germany Markit Services PMI Final FEB
- Germany Markit Composite PMI Final FEB
- Germany New Car Registrations YoY FEB
- Germany New Car Registrations YoY FEB
- EA Markit Services PMI Final FEB
- EA Markit Composite PMI Final FEB
- EA Unemployment Rate JAN
- EA PPI MoM JAN
- EA PPI YoY JAN
- UK Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Final FEB
- UK Markit/CIPS Composite PMI Final FEB
- US Fed Chair Powell Testifies
- US Challenger Job Cuts FEB
- US Unit Labour Costs QoQ Final Q4
- US Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Final Q4
- US Initial Jobless Claims 26/FEB
- US Jobless Claims 4-week Average 26/FEB
- US Continuing Jobless Claims 19/FEB
- US Markit Services PMI Final FEB
- US Markit Composite PMI Final FEB
- US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI FEB
- US Factory Orders MoM JAN
- US Factory Orders ex Transportation JAN
- US ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders FEB
- US ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity FEB
- US ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices FEB
- US ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment FEB
- US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 25/FEB
- US NY Fed Treasury Purchases 7 to 10 yrs
- US 8-Week Bill Auction
- US 4-Week Bill Auction
Friday, 04, March 2022
- New Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence FEB
- South Korea Foreign Exchange Reserves FEB
- South Korea Inflation Rate YoY FEB
- South Korea Inflation Rate MoM FEB
- Australia Retail Sales MoM Final JAN
- Japan Unemployment Rate JAN
- Japan Jobs/applications ratio JAN
- Australia Retail Sales MoM Final JAN
- Germany Balance of Trade JAN
- Germany Balance of Trade s.a JAN
- Germany Exports MoM s.a JAN
- Germany Imports MoM s.a JAN
- Germany Current Account JAN
- Germany Construction PMI FEB
- Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts
- Switzerland Foreign Exchange Reserves FEB
- EA Construction PMI FEB
- EA Retail Sales MoM JAN
- EA Retail Sales YoY JAN
- Italy Construction PMI FEB
- Italy GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4
- Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q4
- UK New Car Sales YoY FEB
- UK Construction PMI FEB
- France Retail Sales MoM JAN
- France Retail Sales YoY JAN
- Spain Consumer Confidence FEB
- Canada Building Permits MoM JAN
- Canada Labor Productivity QoQ Q4
- Canada Ivey PMI s.a FEB
- US Non-Farm Payrolls FEB
- US Unemployment Rate FEB
- US Participation Rate FEB
- US Average Hourly Earnings MoM FEB
- US Average Hourly Earnings YoY FEB
- US Nonfarm Payrolls Private FEB
- US Average Weekly Hours FEB
- US Government Payrolls FEB
- US Manufacturing Payrolls FEB
- US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 04/MAR
- US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 04/MAR
- US Total Vehicle Sales FEB